No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Current value
- $71.29K
- Potential payout
- $92.89K
- Potential profit
- $21.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $24.85K
Polymarket Trader
Debosnys
0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.89K
- Realized PnL
- $92.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $21.6K
- Potential payout
- $92.89K
- Potential profit
- $71.29K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$24.85K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $962.49
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $69.5
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.38
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.88
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $35.34
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.94K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Yes position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $110K on May 27 at 5 PM ET?
Ends May 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.5% 68.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.5% 11,208.31 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 175.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 35,791.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.2% 12,350.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.6% 688 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.6% 1,528.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.1% 0.34 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.5% 201.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.3% 420.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.3% 290.13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 96.9% 349.37 shares