Polymarket Trader

nikkachu

@fdwater

0x7e3ba7df0cfb7d4ee3fc83864b64de2f6cda5d31

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.2K
Realized PnL: $47.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $1.11M
Potential profit: $1.11M
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $556.73

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $523.02
Potential payout: $209.21K
Potential profit: $208.69K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$523.02

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$44.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.82K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81K

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22K

No position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $900.42

Up position

Solana Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $743.54

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $674.83

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.87

No position

Will Solana dip to $110 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.28

Down position

Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.69

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $341.14

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $311.56

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $289.07

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Coin" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $168.94

Down position

XRP Up or Down on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.25

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.21

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Ripple" during Crypto Summit on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.61

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.79

No position

Will Solana reach $150 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.75

Yes position

Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 4,205.74 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5

Over 67% 1,825.49 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5

Over 66% 2,000 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 209,209.46 shares
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 433,542.55 shares
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,027,678 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 24,295.17 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 29,477.11 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 73,621.27 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 40,301.5 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Yes 1.5% 1,514.71 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Yes 2% 1,266.39 shares