Yes position
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $21.15
Polymarket Trader
Aynsworth
0x7e3ff4a02c716b0354e3f55a315034645a818126
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $45.3
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $20.07
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $21.15
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $20.07
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?Yes 8% 705 shares
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Yes 9% 669 shares
- US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes 9.3% 692 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Yes 5.2% 665 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Yes 5.7% 674 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Yes 5% 660 shares