trader-7e524744

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $505
Potential profit: $498.94
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $5.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $134.84
Potential profit: $134.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $78.72
Potential profit: $78.6
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $58.89
Potential profit: $57.04
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $13.97
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $8.94
Potential profit: $8.83
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $8.85
Potential profit: $8.74
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $7.66
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.14
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $6.54
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $4.68
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $2.93
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.69

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET