Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $10.04K
- User PnL
- -$263.23
Polymarket Trader
abcasfs12313232
0x7e5d4aed336d9f0f775613cf6e4e922c639a51ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.17K
- Realized PnL
- $22.44K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $579.3
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$598.79
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $775
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $675
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $753.45
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $503.76
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $479.05
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $469.09
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $461.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.68
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.93
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $76.93
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $58.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.66
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.15
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $27.55
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.82
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.13
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.54
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.95
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 13% 2,970.76 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3.4% 13,411.18 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 14% 7,692.3 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 2.4% 2,688.41 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes 10.3% 2,814.29 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes 14.6% 2,884.77 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 32.1% 3,430.49 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 7,692.31 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3% 1,100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 19% 400.53 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 1.7% 1,176.47 shares