Polymarket Trader

StasPanda

@staspanda

0x7e5e420a5cde8a322f3b5b93a12a164827f47315

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.53K
Realized PnL: $175.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $17.7K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $42.3K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$99.72

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $5.59K
Potential payout: $40.94K
Potential profit: $35.35K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$860.59

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $22.13K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.93K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$212.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$162.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $21.02K
Potential profit: $19.62K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$388.91

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.87K
Potential profit: $20.87K
User PnL: -$2.47K

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.53K
Potential profit: $20.53K
User PnL: -$4.53K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $20.08K
Potential profit: $17.82K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $20.08K
Potential profit: $17.92K
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: -$512.03

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.69K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.31K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $18.87K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $19.64K
Potential profit: $17.91K
Multiplier: 11.36x
User PnL: $413.73

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $993.3
Potential payout: $15.05K
Potential profit: $14.06K
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$309.68

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $11.78K
Potential profit: $9.92K
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: -$223.11

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $227.77
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $10.88K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $105.55

No position

Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$260.01

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $7.85K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $850

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$960

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $4.58K
Potential payout: $6.49K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $32.46

No position

Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$3.75K

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$2.94K

Yes position

Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$467.78

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $4.07K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $528.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.85K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.57K

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23K

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8K

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.07K

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01K

B8 position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63K

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15K

9z position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89K

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45K

Lynn Vision position

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04K

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41K

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29K

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74K

No position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94K

BIG position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

No position

Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

No 93% 5,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 30% 40,000 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

No 85% 32.9 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Team Nemesis 98.9% 1,152.2 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Team Nemesis 92.3% 360 shares
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?

No 99.3% 1,740.34 shares
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

illwill 80% 86.03 shares
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

K27 46.8% 42.71 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

G2 33% 1,020.45 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Aurora Gaming 99% 2,314.36 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Spirit 88% 17,200.12 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Legacy 4% 164.63 shares