Polymarket Trader

0x7E642C19994dB54bdd94fc3CBA0d57a17614C43e-1770101804478

0x7e642c19994db54bdd94fc3cba0d57a17614c43e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $314.36
Realized PnL: -$274.63
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $18.81
Potential payout: $63.75
Potential profit: $44.94
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.25B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $21.76
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $37.06
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.4B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $21.14
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $17.62
Potential payout: $51.08
Potential profit: $33.46
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$2.38

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $19.57
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $23.91
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $18.48
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $11.89
Potential payout: $40.3
Potential profit: $28.41
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$8.11

Yes position

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $8.43
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $30.78
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$11.57

No position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $165B by June 30?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $22.45
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $15.28
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $10.86
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $23.62
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$9.14

No position

Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $22.58
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $9.68
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

AWS service disrupted by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $26.72
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.47

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $23.69
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $7.08
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $21.19
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $8.66
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $21.57
Potential payout: $29.35
Potential profit: $7.78
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $21.53
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $21.73
Potential payout: $27.16
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $27.91

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

No position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $13.42

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.84

No position

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.89

No position

Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$19.12

No position

Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$84.36

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$88.59

No position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$136.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?

Yes 31.4% 63.75 shares
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?

No 62% 32.26 shares
Ebola case in the US by June 30?

No 94% 31.74 shares
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

No 96% 49.89 shares
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Yes 67% 29.85 shares
Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?

No 2% 43.63 shares
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

Yes 68.1% 29.35 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?

No 39.2% 51.08 shares
Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?

No 45.8% 43.64 shares
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?

No 46% 43.48 shares
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.25B?

Yes 34% 58.82 shares
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Yes 51% 39.22 shares