Polymarket Trader

optimuscometssun

0x7e64c0c7ac1093de36b160e776ea00c12b1e1824

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.03
Realized PnL: $593.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $10.16
Potential payout: $14.73
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $12.13
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $12.48
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $9.52
Potential payout: $12.44
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $10.29
Potential payout: $12.32
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Current value: $10.92
Potential payout: $11.84
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $11.44
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $10.83
Potential payout: $11.34
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.81

No position

Will Ollie win Eesti Laul 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.48

No position

Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.93

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.94

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.75

No position

Will Noëp win Eesti Laul 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.65

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.14

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Cloud9 position

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.89

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 13, 9AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18

BC.Game Esports position

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 84% 12.48 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 71% 14.73 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 81% 12.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 85% 12.32 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 88% 11.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 92% 11.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 91.2% 11.44 shares
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 84% 12.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 83% 2.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Up 95% 1.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Up 94% 1.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Up 93% 1.08 shares