Yes position
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $380.89
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $741.03
- Multiplier
- 2.95x
- User PnL
- $69.27
Polymarket Trader
mani22b
0x7e64d6470b2a5dbeaea5e068a2cd84b85168f51a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $436.51
- Realized PnL
- $611.08
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $55.62
- Potential payout
- $411.99
- Potential profit
- $356.37
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$96.86
Yes position
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $319.93
- Potential profit
- $319.93
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$144
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 60 and 65 million views on week 1?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$13.4
Yes position
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.67
No position
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.34
No position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $75.06
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.8
Yes position
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.75
No position
Over $15M committed to the VOOI public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.58
Yes position
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.64
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.53
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 48% 39.48 shares
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 19% 421 shares
- HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 99.9% 809.62 shares
- HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 95.6% 84.63 shares
- HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes 99.9% 747.62 shares
- HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes 99.8% 747.62 shares
- Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 18% 7.59 shares
- Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 39% 90 shares
- HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 94% 974.51 shares
- Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 33% 290.3 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 95.8% 100 shares
- Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?Yes 0.1% 500 shares