Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$6.12
Polymarket Trader
SBED
@0xSubvend
0x7e69274bb8c68ed880892e4b1e3c166c0c92d7e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.46
- Realized PnL
- $2.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$48.02
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$31.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$6.92
Yes position
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $918.97
- Potential profit
- $918.97
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $897.76
- Potential profit
- $897.76
- User PnL
- -$69
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $671.13
- Potential profit
- $671.13
- User PnL
- -$37.23
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $541.3
- Potential profit
- $541.3
- User PnL
- -$90.69
Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $501.78
- Potential profit
- $501.78
- User PnL
- -$110.68
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $448.4
- Potential profit
- $448.4
- User PnL
- -$210.23
Yes position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $431.47
- Potential profit
- $431.47
- User PnL
- -$56.09
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $388.2
- Potential profit
- $388.2
- User PnL
- -$56.74
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $379.84
- Potential profit
- $377.56
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$74.79
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $358.72
- Potential profit
- $358.72
- User PnL
- -$64.57
No position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.16
- Potential profit
- $328.16
- User PnL
- -$23.59
Yes position
Will MUTT (Leon Thomas) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280.67
- Potential profit
- $280.67
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.33
- Potential profit
- $275.33
- User PnL
- -$8.26
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $51.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $198.75
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$71.25
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174
- Potential profit
- $174
- User PnL
- -$33.06
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $27.93
- Potential payout
- $169.79
- Potential profit
- $141.86
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$59.72
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.22
- Potential profit
- $144.22
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.73
- Potential profit
- $120.73
- User PnL
- -$13.16
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.49
- Potential profit
- $119.49
- User PnL
- -$25.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.81
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $115.28
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.18
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.09
No position
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.51
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.21
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.01
No position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.41
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.08
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.22
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.55
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 25?
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.77
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.89
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $122,000 and $124,000 on October 8?
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.24
No position
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.73
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.61
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.06
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.34
No position
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.01
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.65
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.76
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.69
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No 99.7% 152.21 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No 99.7% 395.4 shares
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 74% 18.14 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No 96.2% 55 shares
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 71.5% 31 shares
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 71.5% 73 shares
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 71.5% 73 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 2.1% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 66% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 7.5% 87 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No 96.2% 125 shares
- Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.5% 2,245.45 shares