Polymarket Trader

98866

0x7e6fda10646a4343358c84004859adfea1c0c022

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.64K
Realized PnL: $357.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 5PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.45K
Potential profit: $264.45K
User PnL: -$132.22K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 2AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$50K

Grizzlies position

Spread: Spurs (-15.5)

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.32K
Potential profit: $28.32K
User PnL: -$13.03K

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.14K
Potential profit: $18.14K
User PnL: -$9.43K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.79K
Potential profit: $5.79K
User PnL: -$2.89K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $264.71
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $10.24

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $995.36
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $13.64

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $307.34
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $176.66
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$7.26

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $39.72
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $6.28
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $35.3
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$1.06

Under position

Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.4
Potential profit: $38.4
User PnL: -$18.82

No position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.93
Potential profit: $12.93
User PnL: -$10.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.3K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.44K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.01K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.14K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.44K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.05

Jazz position

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.97

Illinois State Redbirds position

Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Stars position

Wild vs. Stars

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

No position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

76ers position

Bucks vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Celtics position

Pelicans vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

No 88% 56.51 shares
Bucks vs. 76ers

76ers 93% 26.94 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 36% 2,727 shares
Pelicans vs. Celtics

Celtics 94% 20.96 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8.7% 2,925 shares
Wild vs. Stars

Stars 55% 20 shares
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?

No 82% 12.93 shares
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5

Under 49% 38.4 shares
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

No 92.2% 32 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.9% 40 shares
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

No 66.7% 102 shares
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)

Grizzlies 46% 28,316 shares