Zenkilam

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.72
Potential profit: $928.72
User PnL: -$9.29

Up position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $848.91
Potential profit: $848.91
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.48
Potential profit: $286.48
User PnL: -$189.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.32
Potential profit: $157.32
User PnL: -$20.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.97
Potential profit: $134.97
User PnL: -$118.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.67
Potential profit: $119.67
User PnL: -$18.95

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $13.16
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $92.11
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$6.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.88
Potential profit: $92.88
User PnL: -$0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.32
Potential profit: $72.32
User PnL: -$38.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.24
Potential profit: $72.24
User PnL: -$44.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.11
Potential profit: $70.11
User PnL: -$60.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.76
Potential profit: $58.76
User PnL: -$28.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.2
Potential profit: $58.2
User PnL: -$19.03

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.14
Potential profit: $58.14
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.21
Potential profit: $48.21
User PnL: -$19.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.05
Potential profit: $41.05
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.24
Potential profit: $40.24
User PnL: -$19.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.42
Potential profit: $38.42
User PnL: -$17.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.83
Potential profit: $37.83
User PnL: -$19.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.7
Potential profit: $36.7
User PnL: -$19.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.46
Potential profit: $36.46
User PnL: -$19.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.92
Potential profit: $35.92
User PnL: -$24.42

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $27.97
Potential payout: $35.91
Potential profit: $7.94
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $7.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET