No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $33.27K
- Potential payout
- $34K
- Potential profit
- $731.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.23
Polymarket Trader
Alpheo
0x7eaa1446a6d9b5f83356f7cdeb4eae42bac2fd24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.66K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $3.82K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $28.23
No position
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $3.68K
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $277.28
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $156.83
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $34.91
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $24.47
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $84.36
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.37
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $221.2
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $403.99
- Potential payout
- $456.49
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 95% 3,136.63 shares
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?No 94.8% 3,998.03 shares
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?No 97.7% 2,586.07 shares
- Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 92.9% 3,961.21 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 83.9% 1,382.51 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No 95% 1,874.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 97.9% 26,298.57 shares