Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Polymarket Trader
Laurence895
0x7edd233d04c863ecb886b1af56d1f2825b034de6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 53°F or higher on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 4-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or below on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will it be confirmed that Luigi Mangione used psychedelics?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 96.9% 39 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 1.9% 50.77 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 90% 40 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 92% 4 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.9% 21 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.7% 19 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.5% 40 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.2% 41 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 93.9% 41 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.5% 37 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 47% 8 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 96% 10 shares