No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $39.53
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $11.48
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Polymarket Trader
derwinwilliam
0x7ef9e7031094fb7d8a7204a49880025a2a1e2353
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.53
- Realized PnL
- $55.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
XRP Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 11PM ET
Ends Aug 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Oleksandr Usyk KO Tyson Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.22
Cortes-Acosta position
Spivac vs. Cortes-Acosta
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Magomedov position
Pereira vs. Magomedov
Ends Apr 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Silva position
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silva
Ends Apr 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will Mexico beat USA in Regulation Time?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 1AM ET
Ends Aug 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Teixeira position
Tafa vs. Teixeira
Ends Feb 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Oligarchy" 5+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 72% 51 shares
- XRP Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ETDown 50% 5 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 11PM ETDown 50% 5 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 1AM ETDown 50% 5 shares
- Will Bernie Sanders say "Oligarchy" 5+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?No 61% 5 shares
- Will Mexico beat USA in Regulation Time?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Spivac vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta 44% 10 shares
- Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?No 57% 10 shares
- Gordon vs. MoisésMoisés 49% 10 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No 99.8% 3.41 shares
- Shevchenko vs. FiorotFiorot 57% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?No 99.9% 2.3 shares