Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.62
- Potential profit
- $33.62
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
HappyMage
0x7efdc44ef465dfa46e9d76cf18207923d5aedf20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.67
- Realized PnL
- $59.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.24
- Potential profit
- $29.24
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $20.36
- Potential payout
- $21.21
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $10.21
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $3.68
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $13.67
- Potential payout
- $13.75
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $3.97
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03
- Potential profit
- $4.03
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- User PnL
- -$1.31
No position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Over position
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 7PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?Yes 66% 21.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?Yes 87.3% 13.75 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?Yes 98.9% 22.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.9% 11.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 93% 11.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 30?No 66% 4.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?No 75% 4 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 12% 16.67 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?No 58% 3.45 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 85% 5.61 shares