No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $7.26
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Polymarket Trader
0x7f02...1486
0x7f02d8f875980016a2aa606fdba5745a88111486
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $18.99
- Realized PnL
- $1.05
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $4.22
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.12
N
No position
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $3.9
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 77% 3.9 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 39% 5.33 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 51.1% 5.01 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 58% 5.17 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 75% 5.33 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 69.6% 5.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 86% 8.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 5.66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 67% 8.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 47% 9.62 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82.6% 7.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 42% 9.61 shares