Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Polymarket Trader
riolo
0x7f18e119d0f595c8051fc7e3cb5283b28619e356
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $33.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $4.07
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 25.52 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.6% 26 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96.4% 24.8 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 23.97 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.8% 24 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.9% 24 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?No 99.9% 24 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 26.62 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95% 25.06 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 97% 24.41 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.9% 26.88 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes 98.4% 24.72 shares