Polymarket Trader

tilchi

0x7f1d4b950c6392650713252cebac3293d5f745dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.46K
Realized PnL: $654.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GTA VI released before November 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $578.11
Potential payout: $594.45
Potential profit: $16.35
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $40.53

No position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $368.73
Potential payout: $398.63
Potential profit: $29.9
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $5.71

No position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $309
Potential payout: $330.48
Potential profit: $21.48
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $8.62

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $284.14
Potential payout: $297.53
Potential profit: $13.39
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.54

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $279.86
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $12.3

No position

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $269.89
Potential payout: $270.02
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $11.37

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $216.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $33.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $234.87
Potential payout: $234.99
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $7.18

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $221.65
Potential payout: $221.98
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $16.54

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $161.88
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $159.25
Potential payout: $174.05
Potential profit: $14.79
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $15.44

No position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $137.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $12.75
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $121.08
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $23.92
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $9.83

Yes position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $88.94
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: $5.42

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $89.74
Potential payout: $92.8
Potential profit: $3.06
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.8

Yes position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $131.34

No position

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.45

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.85

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.78

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.27

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.85

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.89

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.36

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.74

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

Yes position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Men's Tour de Flanders?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

No position

Will Alberta join the US?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.32

No position

Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South Africa reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 255 shares
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.1% 46.4 shares
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97% 46.27 shares
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

No 94% 30 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 98.9% 40 shares
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 99.2% 100 shares
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 99% 11.99 shares
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 98.9% 50 shares
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 98.9% 100 shares
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 97% 20 shares
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 97% 10 shares
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 98% 13.65 shares