shyozarakcn

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $53.07
Potential payout: $258.87
Potential profit: $205.8
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $17.33
Potential payout: $247.55
Potential profit: $230.23
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$13.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $102.84
Potential payout: $244.85
Potential profit: $142.01
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $19.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $39.12
Potential payout: $244.53
Potential profit: $205.4
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $19.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $67.22
Potential payout: $244.44
Potential profit: $177.22
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$18.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $47.54
Potential payout: $231.88
Potential profit: $184.35
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$15.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $57.99
Potential payout: $190.13
Potential profit: $132.14
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $16.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $66.6
Potential payout: $187.61
Potential profit: $121.01
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $25.16
Potential payout: $179.73
Potential profit: $154.57
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $33.01
Potential payout: $178.45
Potential profit: $145.43
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$12.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $59.74
Potential payout: $178.33
Potential profit: $118.59
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $5.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $11.15
Potential payout: $174.24
Potential profit: $163.09
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$8.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $56.46
Potential payout: $163.69
Potential profit: $107.23
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $9.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $65.44
Potential payout: $163.61
Potential profit: $98.17
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $10.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $145.71
Potential profit: $145.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $135.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $122.55
Potential payout: $122.61
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $66.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $31.23
Potential payout: $117.86
Potential profit: $86.63
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $14.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $117.79
Potential profit: $106.6
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $9.12
Potential payout: $116.23
Potential profit: $107.11
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $63.65
Potential payout: $113.67
Potential profit: $50.01
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $10.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $23.05
Potential payout: $107.22
Potential profit: $84.16
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$8.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $105.55
Potential profit: $77.05
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $72.38
Potential payout: $72.41
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $65.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Cavaliers position

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $197.66

Spurs position

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Over position

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.93

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.11

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.89

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $25.52

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.87

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET