roronoagako1205

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $316.27
Potential payout: $37.21K
Potential profit: $36.89K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$201.67

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $20.3K
Potential profit: $18.38K
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: -$58.34

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $892.98
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $2.75K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $549.99

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $12.18
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$103

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $49.08
Potential payout: $917.43
Potential profit: $868.35
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$50.92

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $43.24
Potential payout: $576.57
Potential profit: $533.33
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$14.26

Yes position

Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $17.45
Potential payout: $562.76
Potential profit: $545.32
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$25.55

Yes position

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $41.47
Potential payout: $493.67
Potential profit: $452.2
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: -$4.22

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $18.6
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $409.97
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $208.94
Potential profit: $208.41
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $197.09
Potential profit: $196
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $20.91
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $160.91
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $24.14
Potential payout: $176.19
Potential profit: $152.05
Multiplier: 7.30x
User PnL: -$14.12

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $21.53
Potential payout: $114.83
Potential profit: $93.3
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $11.54

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.75
Potential profit: $112.75
User PnL: -$4.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $680.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $163.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.89

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.81

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.17

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 20.1%
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $28.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.26

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET