Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $311.75
- Potential profit
- $307.7
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Polymarket Trader
in-cognito
0x7f5b9376ed23c93d1f1e4be5b5e88f875065b202
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $239.99
- Realized PnL
- $68.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $8.68
- Potential payout
- $214.35
- Potential profit
- $205.67
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $149.11
- Potential payout
- $162.25
- Potential profit
- $13.14
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $13.15
- Potential payout
- $57.18
- Potential profit
- $44.03
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$3.75 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $46.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Will it rain in San Francisco on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will it rain in Denver on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 34-35°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June?Yes 6.9% 14.5 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?Yes 5.5% 11 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?Yes 5.5% 100 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June?Yes 6.6% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 20?No 97.8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 20?No 98.1% 20 shares
- Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Yes 43% 10 shares
- Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes 40% 60 shares
- Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes 39% 20 shares
- Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Yes 17.4% 24.36 shares
- Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Yes 18% 13.22 shares
- Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Yes 14% 0.6 shares