Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $42.74
- Potential payout
- $407
- Potential profit
- $364.27
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Polymarket Trader
0x7f6d...f6f6
0x7f6d3eb889c36ce8c70ba2606c642ab2d4ebf6f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $902.88
- Realized PnL
- $626.61
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $199
- Potential profit
- $194.92
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$5.87
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $121.95
- Potential payout
- $198.29
- Potential profit
- $76.34
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $22.2
No position
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $72.83
- Potential payout
- $122.4
- Potential profit
- $49.57
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $12.94
No position
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $64.23
- Potential payout
- $105.29
- Potential profit
- $41.06
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $14.84
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $32.89
- Potential payout
- $84.34
- Potential profit
- $51.45
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$9.61
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $42.87
- Potential payout
- $75.88
- Potential profit
- $33.02
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $45.72
- Potential payout
- $70.89
- Potential profit
- $25.17
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.3%
- Current value
- $61.05
- Potential payout
- $68.4
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $56.87
- Potential payout
- $66.51
- Potential profit
- $9.64
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $14.59
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $34.06
- Potential payout
- $57.24
- Potential profit
- $23.18
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $48.6
- Potential payout
- $56.18
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $26.75
- Potential payout
- $55.72
- Potential profit
- $28.97
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $46.12
- Potential payout
- $53.94
- Potential profit
- $7.82
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $41.94
- Potential payout
- $47.4
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $14.26
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $42.47
- Potential payout
- $46.93
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $42.28
- Potential payout
- $42.3
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $24.97
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $19.7
- Potential payout
- $30.31
- Potential profit
- $10.61
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $19.74
- Potential payout
- $29.24
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $11.84
- Potential payout
- $19.09
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $13.69
- Potential payout
- $14.56
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $13.12
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $1.29
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.35
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.29
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.88
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.95
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.73
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.4
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.37
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $7.99
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$6.12
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$7.94
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.67
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$10.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 23% 133.92 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 58.9% 20.13 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 16% 3.85 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 51.3% 44.52 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes 19% 184.84 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 58% 5.13 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No 85% 8.27 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Yes 27% 1.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 68.9% 30.31 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No 85% 11.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 40.9% 106.95 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 11% 407 shares