No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $9.3K
- Potential payout
- $10.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Polymarket Trader
msrcap
0x7f7b87578fb5625d0ef3d5521ffb3abb7b9568f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.43K
- Realized PnL
- $4.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.5K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $500
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $68.04
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$12.72
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $580
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $220
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $76
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $621.98
- Potential profit
- $621.98
- User PnL
- -$118.18
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $497.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- User PnL
- $17.25
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $433.26
- Potential payout
- $468.39
- Potential profit
- $35.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $438.42
- Potential profit
- $438.42
- User PnL
- -$60.95
Yes position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $331.8
- Potential payout
- $333.47
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- User PnL
- $25.44
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$64
No position
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $282.05
- Potential payout
- $294.72
- Potential profit
- $12.67
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $113.37
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- User PnL
- $9.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.93
- Potential profit
- $55.93
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.89
- Potential profit
- $18.89
- User PnL
- -$14.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.65
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.02
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Ultra Prime position
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.79
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.92
Yes position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.44
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.47
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.25
Yes position
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.55
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.31
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
Gen.G position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.51
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $83.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.88
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.74
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.22
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $63.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.08
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.93
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.6% 127.83 shares
- Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 98.3% 288 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 2,400 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 92% 2,676.78 shares
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?No 82% 277.5 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 69% 1,192.76 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 67% 1,999.99 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 1,000 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99% 4,000 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 9.8% 7,478.96 shares