Polymarket Trader

0x7f7d...c158

0x7f7d7c44890d1d2016f781ce5fa48f8c4b17c158

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $854.11
Realized PnL: $69.68
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$79.43

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$108

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $425.53
Potential payout: $425.53
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $227.42

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $182.72
Potential payout: $182.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $42.03

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.06
Potential profit: $139.06
User PnL: -$8.9

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.04
Potential profit: $139.04
User PnL: -$8.76

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.04
Potential profit: $139.04
User PnL: -$14.46

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.04
Potential profit: $139.04
User PnL: -$14.46

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.99
Potential profit: $138.99
User PnL: -$54.07

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $13.85
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $63.07
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$6.15

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $56.02
Potential payout: $65.9
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $27.32

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.4
Potential profit: $60.4
User PnL: -$9.66

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.9
Potential payout: $56.9
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $27.88

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$9.73

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $42.6
Potential payout: $42.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.63

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $36.9
Potential payout: $41.7
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $8.01

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.4
Potential profit: $40.4
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $39.47
Potential profit: $36.12
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$11.64

Yes position

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $26.2
Potential profit: $24.24
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $7.53
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.08
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.08

No position

USDC depeg by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $10.22
Potential payout: $10.36
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 16% 58.3 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Yes 24% 39.14 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Yes 18.5% 52.63 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 10% 1,080 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Yes 71% 14.08 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

No 77% 181.03 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 46.6% 425.53 shares
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 75.2% 17.5 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 38% 39.47 shares
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Yes 26% 76.92 shares
USDC depeg by December 31?

No 96.5% 10.36 shares