Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $196.38
- Potential profit
- $189.61
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$23.22
Polymarket Trader
Tragicaltrain11
0x7f9f44427b8c2fef32bedeed8b89a661f4796789
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.78
- Realized PnL
- $39.33
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.64
- Potential profit
- $12.64
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will Trump say "Chicken" or "KFC" during Kentucky visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.05
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Up position
Fartcoin Up or Down on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?
Ends Jun 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
US military action against Iran by Thursday?
Ends Jun 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Natus Vincere win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 15.8% 126.57 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 14.3% 69.81 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?No 39% 12.46 shares
- Will Trump say "Chicken" or "KFC" during Kentucky visit?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes 88% 5.68 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes 71% 7.04 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 7?No 72.9% 41.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4PM ETUp 38% 5.26 shares
- Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No 72% 4.17 shares
- Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes 74% 4.05 shares
- Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No 98.3% 10.17 shares
- Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?No 98.5% 3.05 shares