No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $12.95K
- Potential payout
- $13.93K
- Potential profit
- $982.07
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $23.42
Polymarket Trader
0x7FB8e79B
0x7fb8e79bec68bd578f90c52cf4858b5593e9fc42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.95K
- Realized PnL
- $2.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$460.5
Yes position
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $17.5
- Potential profit
- $16.54
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.06
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
Yes position
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.33
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.41
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.01
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.7
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.4
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.27
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.53
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.9% 7,480.56 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.7% 6,449.44 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 94.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 96% 936.5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 23?Yes 96.2% 498.63 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 5?Yes 99% 500 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?Yes 98.5% 9.21 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?Yes 98.4% 571.64 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?Yes 98.6% 406.17 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 27?Yes 98.5% 100 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 94% 139.97 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on February 18?Yes 99.9% 101 shares