Polymarket Trader

losinganon

@amit0xic

0x7fc81f6b9defce5b8a0d98d5c2d17b47f9e4bdd5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.07K
Realized PnL: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $8.38K
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$3.13K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.9%
Current value: $8.38K
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $3.13K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $65.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $239.67

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $114
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $54

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $78.1
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $2.75
User PnL: $26.75

No position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $492
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $15

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.78
Potential profit: $177.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $78.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $21.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $79.37
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$10.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$11.05

Yes position

Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$30.1

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.59
Potential profit: $24.59
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.34
Potential profit: $9.34
User PnL: -$0.49

Over position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.49
Potential profit: $3.49
User PnL: -$2.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $218.16

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.52

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.8

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.02

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.91

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.51

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.38

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $29

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.48

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $23.7

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.34

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.44

No position

Over $15M committed to the VOOI public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Over 62% 9 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Over 76% 5 shares
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027?

No 38.9% 20 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 80% 880 shares
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1% 360 shares
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 20 shares
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 20 shares
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 400 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Under 63% 40 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

No 82% 20 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

No 82% 10 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

No 88% 55 shares