Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
Cienfuegos2004
0x7fcd060a9eb117eb3d5bac15ace2fa02dc12c60d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $401.5
- Realized PnL
- $520.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $401.41
- Potential payout
- $538.8
- Potential profit
- $137.39
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$22.96
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $415.66
- Potential profit
- $415.66
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $407.78
- Potential profit
- $407.78
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $146.85
- Potential profit
- $146.77
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.68
- Potential profit
- $140.68
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.21
- Potential profit
- $24.21
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $11.67
- Potential profit
- $11.66
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.58
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.74
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.79
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.56
Yes position
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will Apple dip to $240 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will BNB reach $700 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 5?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 58% 10.99 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 407.78 shares
- Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 22.24 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 78.8% 549.79 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 91% 461.62 shares
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?Yes 57% 31.64 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 43% 461.63 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes 38.1% 481.02 shares
- Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in May?Yes 1% 45.45 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?Yes 4.6% 90.9 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 67.16 shares