No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $488.27
- Potential payout
- $622
- Potential profit
- $133.73
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $90.19
Polymarket Trader
lockitron
0x7ff1490a3cb1c657b65ae37f18ac9c535f7685cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.38K
- Realized PnL
- $4.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Over position
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $234.84
- Potential payout
- $618
- Potential profit
- $383.16
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $105.06
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $460.92
- Potential payout
- $501
- Potential profit
- $40.08
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $25.05
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.4%
- Current value
- $120.56
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $319.44
- Multiplier
- 3.65x
- User PnL
- -$152.68
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $54.09
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$16.14
No position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.6%
- Current value
- $28.3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $21.71
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.21
No position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $23.38
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $7.98
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.69
Yes position
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.94
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicole Kidman attend the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.28
Yes position
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $396.36
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $385.47
Yes position
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.42
Yes position
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.71
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 10 be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.09
No position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.95
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.53
Yes position
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.45
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $216.72
Yes position
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-01-26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.75
Yes position
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.50B and $8.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $212.3
Yes position
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.12
Positive position
Ethereum ETF Flows on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.8
Yes position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $139.06
Yes position
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.9
No position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.85
No position
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Climate" during NYC rally?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.46
No position
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.5
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $110.86
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Passover" or "Easter" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.6
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.71
No position
Will Michael Morris - Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No 74% 597 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 87% 33 shares
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No 20% 758 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 87% 534 shares
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No 22% 758 shares
- Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Climate" during NYC rally?No 97.2% 332 shares
- Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Climate" during NYC rally?No 57% 332 shares
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No 89% 1,821 shares
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?No 11% 106 shares
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?No 12% 600 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 73% 733 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 72% 99 shares