Polymarket Trader

OstapP

0x8007ad03470539b924f93d3d263981c39d05a8f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $84.92
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $8.02K
User PnL: -$6.29K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.04K
Potential profit: $5.04K
User PnL: -$1.55K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$1.77K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$284.16

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$77.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$413.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$491.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$370.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $997.04
Potential profit: $997.04
User PnL: -$55.54

No position

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $990.95
Potential profit: $990.95
User PnL: -$596.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$16.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.9
Potential profit: $183.9
User PnL: -$94.19

No position

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.09
Potential profit: $144.09
User PnL: -$96.45

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$56.3

No position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $84.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $99
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $3.34
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 5.8% 26.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 5.9% 24.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 13.6% 13.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 13.8% 16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 36% 85.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 31.7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 71% 54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 70% 28.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 99.8% 112 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 89% 112 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 36.5% 104.34 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 46.9% 26 shares