Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
kuca
0x8008e850e4a1fe6f80a22d29307a7eb98ffbcd9d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.87
- Realized PnL
- $369.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.19
- Potential profit
- $275.19
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $144.56
- Potential payout
- $144.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $24.56
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.31
- Potential profit
- $86.31
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.68
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $48.38
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$14.32
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.83
- Potential profit
- $51.83
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.25
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.13
- Potential profit
- $45.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.72
- Potential profit
- $40.72
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Skedaddle" in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.43
- Potential profit
- $36.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.45
- Potential profit
- $34.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $28.83
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $8.91
- Potential payout
- $29.22
- Potential profit
- $20.31
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$11.09
No position
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $25.48
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Banana Republic" in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.18
- Potential profit
- $26.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Soviet" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the private dinner on November 12?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.67
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the America Business Forum on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.66
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.78
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.66
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will Trump say "IQ Test" in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93
Yes position
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Welfare" during executive order signing events on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Trump say “Climate Change” this week? (November 10 - 16)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 74.3% 26.91 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 85% 117.65 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 275.19 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?No 91% 32.97 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes 5.7% 17.41 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?No 82% 24.39 shares
- Will Trump say "Europe" or "European" during the State of the Union address?Yes 86% 5.81 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?Yes 77.2% 51.83 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?No 80% 12.5 shares