Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $396.51
- Potential payout
- $29.37K
- Potential profit
- $28.97K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$103.47
Polymarket Trader
meifreefly
0x8012f20131d9900519b95151afec004e3f4df32b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.15K
- Realized PnL
- -$352.04
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $599.03
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$290.96
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.09K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.38K
- Potential profit
- $4.38K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $157.71
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$72.28
Yes position
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$350
No position
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390.4
- Potential profit
- $390.4
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.66
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.56
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$96.75
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$199.46
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$397.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 7% 3,285.71 shares
- UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?No 25.6% 390.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 18.4% 1,632.37 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 1,818.18 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 9.9% 1,039.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 24% 1,200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 25% 1,200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.5% 333.33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 19% 1,108.1 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.7% 29,370.96 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 1,716.37 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 3,100 shares