Polymarket Trader

Ista

0x80198ecb06d38ed820d8f9e5bfcda13a49dfd74d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $144.06
Realized PnL: $211.9
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$110

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.49
Potential profit: $999.49
User PnL: -$95.34

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $942.73
Potential profit: $942.73
User PnL: -$241

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $95.1
Potential payout: $515.46
Potential profit: $420.36
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$4.9

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$88

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.67
Potential profit: $366.67
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $243.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.12
Potential profit: $212.12
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $48.96
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $159.38
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.66
Potential profit: $207.66
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.14
Potential profit: $207.14
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.03
Potential profit: $207.03
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206
Potential profit: $206
User PnL: -$10

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.56
Potential profit: $199.56
User PnL: -$82

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.11
Potential profit: $148.11
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.57
Potential profit: $125.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.71
Potential profit: $107.71
User PnL: -$13

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $107.14
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.54
Potential profit: $101.54
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.86

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.04

Yes position

Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 24% 208.33 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 19.4% 515.46 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 9% 366.67 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

No 22% 400 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 41.1% 199.56 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Yes 17.6% 148.11 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 23.6% 494.82 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 30.9% 323.16 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 92.4% 97.45 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 6.3% 237.81 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 20.5% 97.45 shares