letyr

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $183.03
Potential profit: $182.48
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $162
Potential profit: $161.6
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.57
Potential profit: $133.57
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.47
Potential profit: $124.47
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.4
Potential profit: $119.4
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $106.48
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $105.02
Potential profit: $102.71
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $99.49
Potential profit: $97.65
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $97.5
Potential profit: $97.31
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $27.59
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $52.41
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $77.5
Potential profit: $74.59
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $30.45
Potential payout: $77.1
Potential profit: $46.65
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $12.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $25.55
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $44.45
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.27
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$11.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $24.64
Potential payout: $68.45
Potential profit: $43.81
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $18.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.4
Potential profit: $63.4
User PnL: -$22.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.15
Potential profit: $62.15
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $61.25
Potential profit: $58.43
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $55.72
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $47.4
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $24.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 11?