No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$616.49
Polymarket Trader
Seldon26
0x80302a5a0f7806838ea65b39d91071e63cb67b74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25K
- Realized PnL
- $11.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$346.78
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$499.49
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.6%
- Current value
- $323.56
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $850.89
- Multiplier
- 3.63x
- User PnL
- $73.57
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $980.42
- Potential profit
- $980.42
- User PnL
- -$221.99
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $849.98
- Potential profit
- $849.98
- User PnL
- -$112.2
Yes position
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $13.73
- Potential payout
- $832.07
- Potential profit
- $818.34
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Will Maurice Washington be the Republican nominee for SC-06?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $797.1
- Potential profit
- $797.1
- User PnL
- -$242.96
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650.82
- Potential profit
- $650.82
- User PnL
- -$157.5
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $525
- Potential profit
- $524.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$157.24
No position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $525
- Potential profit
- $525
- User PnL
- -$157.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $311.09
- Potential payout
- $514.2
- Potential profit
- $203.11
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $233.99
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $513.15
- Potential profit
- $513.15
- User PnL
- -$162.95
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $177.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $322.5
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $57.5
Y
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $56.22
- Potential payout
- $468.5
- Potential profit
- $412.28
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$36.29
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $463.23
- Potential profit
- $463.23
- User PnL
- -$157.5
N
No position
Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $403.84
- Potential profit
- $403.84
- User PnL
- -$157.5
No position
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $366.27
- Potential profit
- $366.27
- User PnL
- -$157.49
No position
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.4%
- Current value
- $209.39
- Potential payout
- $320.17
- Potential profit
- $110.78
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $138.31
Yes position
Will Twice release a song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.7%
- Current value
- $137.63
- Potential payout
- $301.16
- Potential profit
- $163.53
- Multiplier
- 2.19x
- User PnL
- $36.12
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $292.68
- Potential profit
- $292.68
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $282.43
- Potential profit
- $279.47
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$90.24
No position
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.35
- Potential profit
- $266.35
- User PnL
- -$69.25
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $17.88
- Potential payout
- $255.47
- Potential profit
- $237.59
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$43.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $785.19
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $706.11
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $614.27
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.39
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.83
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.19
Y
Yes position
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $465.47
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.59
Yes position
Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.03
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $399.04
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $397.93
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.36
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.83
Yes position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.31
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $348.49
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $334.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.05
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $298.12
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.41
No position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.37
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $294.3
No position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 53.1% 317.36 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 50.2% 208.33 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 57% 120 shares
- Will Twice release a song in 2026?Yes 74.4% 26.82 shares
- Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?No 64% 14 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 58.4% 305.81 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 78% 30 shares
- Will Twice release a song in 2026?Yes 74.5% 29.33 shares
- Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?No 83.6% 21.91 shares
- Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?No 68% 5.88 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 13.6% 484.12 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?No 93% 1.34 shares