Polymarket Trader

Trumppicker

0x80324cd0c823e018bf427c7365724656f1057c6c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.44
Realized PnL: $3.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $553.91
Potential profit: $553.91
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $12.12
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $372.5
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $14.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $235.88
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.58
Potential profit: $178.58
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $175.44
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.62
Potential profit: $151.62
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $136.36
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.24
Potential profit: $135.24
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.89
Potential profit: $133.89
User PnL: -$50

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.17
Potential profit: $127.17
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $126.58
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.38
Potential profit: $125.38
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.27
Potential profit: $123.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.15
Potential profit: $120.15
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $15.62
Potential payout: $112.78
Potential profit: $97.16
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $45.92
Potential payout: $87.55
Potential profit: $41.63
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $15.92

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.95
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.1
Potential profit: $76.1
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.82
Potential profit: $72.82
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.15
Potential profit: $72.15
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.25

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.41

Yes position

Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.19

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.31

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.48

Yes position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 34.3% 87.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 16% 125.38 shares
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

No 39.3% 127.17 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 68.7% 72.82 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 112.78 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 26% 57.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 68% 44.77 shares
Will New Zealand be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 70.9% 138.88 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 99.3% 413.1 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 24% 20 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 25.8% 96.95 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 26% 96.15 shares