Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $84.8
- Potential payout
- $152.8
- Potential profit
- $67.99
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Polymarket Trader
aaharb
0x80376c82fd134887e300085d126006b7cca9f444
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.51
- Realized PnL
- $34.21
- Win rate
- 47.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $129.47
- Potential profit
- $128.76
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$51.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- $8.39
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.64
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 34% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 36% 41.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 10.8% 28.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 14.3% 171.46 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 41% 200 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 51% 200 shares
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 73% 5.09 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 19% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 15% 23.27 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 16% 26.73 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 80.7% 1.86 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 40% 19 shares