Polymarket Trader

0x8038F710D8317f0b8B2d2C0348C1486dE146b39C-1781213709448

0x8038f710d8317f0b8b2d2c0348c1486de146b39c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.45
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.36
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $708.93
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.87
Potential profit: $258.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $211.39
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.25
Potential profit: $164.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.2
Potential profit: $31.2
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 20.6% 9.71 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.4% 214.29 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7% 714.29 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.8% 10.02 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Down 89% 5.62 shares
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?

Yes 3% 164.25 shares
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Yes 56% 17.86 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares