Polymarket Trader

dbc

0x804220433aae26e545a9192587175c3029df82a7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.89
Realized PnL: $844.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $16.2
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$33.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $733.33
Potential profit: $733.33
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $482.76
Potential profit: $482.76
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $408.43
Potential profit: $408.22
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$199.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.12
Potential profit: $378.12
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.89
Potential profit: $301.89
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.86
Potential profit: $299.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$2

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Suns

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.48
Potential profit: $190.48
User PnL: -$80

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$15

Up position

XRP Up or Down on October 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.11
Potential profit: $168.11
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $161.29
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $158.73
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.55
Potential profit: $154.55
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $19.49
Potential payout: $98.68
Potential profit: $79.19
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.86
Potential profit: $92.86
User PnL: -$39

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Hornets

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.11
Potential profit: $85.11
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.49

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.1

Wawrinka position

Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Raptors

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.88

Spurs position

Heat vs. Spurs

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th?

Ends Nov 15, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.92

Knicks position

Timberwolves vs. Knicks

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 23?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Sam Altman say "GPT" 7+ times during TBPN appearance on October 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Up 35% 71.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 2% 150 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 97% 103.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 91.7% 109.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 82% 121.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 80.5% 124.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 68% 36.76 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.2% 98.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 12.9% 440.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Down 56% 178.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Up 68% 147.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Up 40% 250 shares