Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $417.5
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$117.5
Polymarket Trader
Greencandle10
0x805f339a6117753c832db6967b1a0402f23e54a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $454.74
- Realized PnL
- $21.67
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $201.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $48.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Y
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $66.49
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $33.5
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $60.49
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.34
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$39.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 78.2% 150 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes 40% 500 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes 38% 9.9 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 69% 100 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 32.7% 66 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes 36% 9.9 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 68% 99.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 68% 99.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes 49.8% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETDown 99% 78.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETDown 32% 78.13 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 93% 5 shares