Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $20.63
- Potential profit
- $15.78
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
0x8061...ce9b
0x8061f0f3b41fe33942eb89dfd755e851970ace9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $60.93
- Realized PnL
- $105.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $9.61
- Potential profit
- $4.66
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $9.57
- Potential profit
- $5.17
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $9.41
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $8.75
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $6.51
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $3.59
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $5.97
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Up position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 6.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 7.1 shares
- Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 72% 6.08 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 31.7% 4.48 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 35% 7.4 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of June 22 2026?No 57% 8.65 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 27% 6.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 21% 6.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 51% 9.94 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 62% 3.05 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 66% 7.11 shares