No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $7.66K
- Potential payout
- $8.13K
- Potential profit
- $467.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $319.45
Polymarket Trader
0x807d644fA92d7B25C9A51622B8d7Ab72aaE39189-1737325782362
0x807d644fa92d7b25c9a51622b8d7ab72aae39189
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.1K
- Realized PnL
- $2.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $125.53
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $36.92
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $93.53
- Potential payout
- $722.22
- Potential profit
- $628.69
- Multiplier
- 7.72x
- User PnL
- -$36.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.44
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.61
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.16
No position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.63
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.43
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.35
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.69
Yes position
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.54
No position
HasanAbi arrested by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.25
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.2
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.18
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.24
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 47°F or higher on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.2
Eagles position
Super Bowl LIX Winner
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on February 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91% 6,770.44 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 56% 52.25 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 87% 118.03 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 89% 1,473.49 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No 99.5% 1,420.62 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 89% 3.37 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 87% 60 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 53% 20 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 87% 11.98 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18% 166.67 shares
- US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No 94.2% 194.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 87% 931.03 shares