Polymarket Trader

just-hanging-around

0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.46K
Realized PnL: $5.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $7.06
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $11.04
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $959.48
Potential profit: $956.12
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $679.03
Potential profit: $678.69
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $355.42
Potential payout: $356.67
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: $5.3

No position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $300.43
Potential payout: $304.23
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $60
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $190
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $246.63
Potential profit: $246.14
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $27.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $172.9
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$72.9

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $172.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $27.1
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $72.9

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76.8%
Current value: $121.36
Potential payout: $158.13
Potential profit: $36.77
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $53.51
Potential payout: $128.93
Potential profit: $75.42
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $127.73
Potential profit: $127.67
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $29.91
Potential payout: $122.1
Potential profit: $92.19
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$11.74

Yes position

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $106.28
Potential profit: $105.91
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $80.3
Potential payout: $95.59
Potential profit: $15.29
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $20.64

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $56.94
Potential payout: $94.98
Potential profit: $38.04
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $11.37
Potential payout: $78.41
Potential profit: $67.04
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$10.59

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $48.47
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $25.53
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $59.02
Potential payout: $73.32
Potential profit: $14.3
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $12.72
Potential payout: $68.74
Potential profit: $56.02
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $32.96
Potential payout: $61.6
Potential profit: $28.64
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $15.97
Potential payout: $60.27
Potential profit: $44.3
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $5.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.15

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.93

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.27

Yes position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.2%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $243.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.36

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.53

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.12

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.83

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.42

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.48

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.7

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Yes 5% 2.37 shares
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.9% 0.02 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.3% 0.06 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.3% 0.02 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.1% 0.06 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.1% 0.06 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.1% 0.06 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.1% 0.06 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.1% 0.06 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.1% 0.06 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.1% 0.06 shares
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No 96.1% 0.06 shares