No position
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $213.41
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $6.1
Polymarket Trader
0x809D19Eca5cc2cE94E80AD5F49913FcAb249c03D-1769533960748
0x809d19eca5cc2ce94e80ad5f49913fcab249c03d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.29K
- Realized PnL
- $1.41K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$80
Smart position
Will the winner of Beast Games: Season 2 be Strong or Smart?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $366.82
- Potential profit
- $366.82
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.77
- Potential profit
- $348.77
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $288.02
- Potential payout
- $318.26
- Potential profit
- $30.23
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$11.98
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$264
No position
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265.93
- Potential profit
- $265.93
- User PnL
- -$220.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.56
Yes position
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.59
Yes position
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.53
Yes position
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.96
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $72.44
No position
Will "Jamie" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.12
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.15
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $58.82
No position
Will Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.32
No position
Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
No position
Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.76
No position
Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.11
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.38
Yes position
Will "Addiction" or "Drug" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.13
Yes position
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
No position
Will Powell say "Food" or "Energy" 3+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No 94.3% 318.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?No 82% 1,219.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 369.51 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 1,176.47 shares
- Will Trump say "Death Tax" this week? (March 29)No 14% 185.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Death Tax" this week? (March 29)No 44% 185.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)No 78% 58 shares
- Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)No 74.2% 67.35 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 300 shares
- Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 29)No 83% 265.93 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)No 86% 348.77 shares
- Will "Addiction" or "Drug" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Yes 78.5% 88.85 shares