Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $20.96K
- Potential payout
- $39.17K
- Potential profit
- $18.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $11.47K
Polymarket Trader
de5nuts
0x80a0da00fbdc8440b0ef601341f14c3e24795708
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.01K
- Realized PnL
- $318.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $495
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.5K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $345
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $253.89
- Potential payout
- $29.87K
- Potential profit
- $29.62K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $104.54
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $23.38K
- Potential payout
- $24.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $18.33K
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $560.02
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $17.91K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$161.92
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $19.41K
- Potential profit
- $17.35K
- Multiplier
- 9.43x
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $16.77K
- Potential payout
- $19.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.93K
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.62K
- Potential profit
- $18.62K
- User PnL
- -$5.31K
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $15.81K
- Potential profit
- $12.41K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $696.19
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $13.63K
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- $182.52
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$681.99
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $235
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.77K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $254
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.75K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $155
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.83K
- Potential profit
- $9.83K
- User PnL
- -$338.86
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $8.05K
- Potential payout
- $8.62K
- Potential profit
- $573.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $99.61
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $147.77
- Potential payout
- $8.21K
- Potential profit
- $8.06K
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $49.26
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $6.94K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$194
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $868
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $7.13K
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- $159.18
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $729.78
- Potential payout
- $7.68K
- Potential profit
- $6.95K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$345.68
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$506.99
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $69.02
- Potential payout
- $7.27K
- Potential profit
- $7.2K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$81.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.83K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.66K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.1K
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.07K
Yes position
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.51K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.71K
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.53K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.82K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.17K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07K
No position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56K
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5K
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 0.5% 14,205.23 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes 0.7% 4,188.06 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 1% 59.73 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 2% 22,162.75 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 41% 200 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 63% 3,172.38 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 1.6% 11,799.22 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 0.6% 22,593.62 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 61.7% 1,040.72 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.9% 4,139.85 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.3% 2,000 shares