N
No position
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $91.31
- Potential payout
- $93.99
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Polymarket Trader
chamillion
@chamillion__
0x80ce38618465b6f4027a16e38d4215e891703809
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $187.24
- Realized PnL
- $75.77
- Win rate
- 95.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $29.42
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $28.44
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Y
Yes position
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $18.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $19.67
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.68
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.05
No position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
Yes position
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $142 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $226 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $222 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?Yes 92% 20 shares
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?No 96.2% 63.99 shares
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?No 96.5% 30 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.9% 30 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 98.8% 33 shares
- Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in June?No 89% 20 shares
- Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $222 Week of June 22 2026?No 98% 20 shares
- Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $226 Week of June 22 2026?No 99% 50 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 92.6% 20 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?No 98.5% 35 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.9% 20 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 96.6% 20 shares