Polymarket Trader

tt54crqs

0x80e2fd6b5eaedbcbde12c6e3eeacca1fb7c74b81

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $218.28
Realized PnL: $427.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $70.23
Potential payout: $578.03
Potential profit: $507.8
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$29.77

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.4
Potential profit: $312.4
User PnL: -$93.72

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $81.37
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $114.71
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$18.63

Yes position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $60.42
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $78.47
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$39.58

Yes position

Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.71
Potential profit: $83.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $6.26
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $67.81
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: -$13.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.64

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.46

Yes position

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

No 30% 312.4 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 51% 196.08 shares
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

Yes 60% 166.67 shares
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 63% 317.46 shares
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?

Yes 23.9% 83.71 shares
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Yes 54% 185.19 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 72% 138.89 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.3% 578.03 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Yes 29.1% 343.64 shares