0x80e5042E04254A7e3eF15Ae75c3fC148B30B1188-1781765375853

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.07
Potential profit: $176.07
User PnL: -$4.32

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.65
Potential profit: $77.65
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $70.13
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.13

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $74
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $62.98
Potential profit: $59.92
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $56.92
Potential profit: $53.99
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $54.53
Potential profit: $44.2
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $39.64
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.79
Potential profit: $36.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $36.38
Potential profit: $32.27
Multiplier: 8.85x
User PnL: $1.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $32
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.38
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.13
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $3.81
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $18.92
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.13
Potential profit: $20.13
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.89
Potential profit: $19.89
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $19.27
Potential profit: $16.47
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.09
Potential profit: $19.09
User PnL: -$6.15

Yes position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $15.47
Potential profit: $12.69
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.53

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.04

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET