No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $37.23
- Potential payout
- $44.99
- Potential profit
- $7.76
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.59
Polymarket Trader
0x80E7e666409ffF559879d4567Bb6EAfE4D8Fd3A5-1764911698906
0x80e7e666409fff559879d4567bb6eafe4d8fd3a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $134.25
- Realized PnL
- $420.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $33.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$19.76
Yes position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$19.76
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$19.76
No position
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.99
- Potential profit
- $25.99
- User PnL
- -$19.75
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$19.73
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$19.25
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$19.25
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$19.44
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $20.88
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $19.44
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$19.44
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$19.92
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$19.32
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$19.55
Yes position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$19.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.24
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.75
No position
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.36
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.52
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.99
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 86% 10 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Yes 98.2% 24 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 98.1% 22.27 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15?Yes 98% 25 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 97.6% 25 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11?Yes 96.6% 9.16 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11?Yes 98.1% 14.84 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?Yes 85% 23 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?No 94.9% 8.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 0.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 1.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 2.9 shares